You will note the date as being 23 January 2006 when Andrew Sullivan made these statements. It seems that he must have had some real deep insight into the problems facing Hillary Clinton and he also asked the question if the Centrist Independent would pick John McCain over another
. He didn’t get his wish that she not run but the rest of his piece was spot on. Now half the answer has been given. They didn’t pick another Clinton . The question now is will these same centrist reject Obama as too far to the left for their taste and stick with John McCain. I believe the answer is yes. These independent centrist are the ones who did not like Hillary’s leans to the left nor her attempts to triangulate as Bill did in his run for President. Obama is seeming attempting to do some triangulating on his own with his moving his membership from Trinity but yet not totally denouncing the teachings which he sat under for nearly 20 years. He has attempted to remove himself from Tony Renko without totally withdrawing and leaving too many unanswered questions on the real relationship plus a lot of obvious “misstatement” or plain ole lies if you will. He attempted to remove himself from the good Father Pfleger but he did not condemn his teachings. He is attempting to triangulate his statement on meeting with terrorist with no pre-conditions to now saying that certain understandings would have to be met. He tried to triangulate on Clinton by saying the military option is not off the table. But then maybe he didn’t since from his past comments military options are never on the table to begin with. It seems the LSM didn’t want to ask the right questions on this one either. Iran
Will Obama triangulate himself enough to move the centrist independents away from him or toward him. He is slick but not as slick of the old master of slick Bill Clinton who invented the triangulation in recent American politics. Bill’s slick wore off as did Hillary’s and Obama’s slick is wearing thin. I wonder what Andrew Sullivan will write next on this situation. Here is what he said in 2006.
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*** It seems that Mr. Sullivan has had an epiphany or perhaps just an intellectual experience and has now switched his allegiance to Obama. He thinks Obama is the right “face” to put on America but says little about his qualifications other than being a brilliant pontificator , commonly known here in Texas and in the mountains of my former home as a good Bull****er. Never the less, Mr. Sullivan, who once thought Hillary was trying too hard to be President, seem to overlook the fact that he and the LSM are trying to hard to make an empty suit into something that it is not. Perhaps Mr. Sullivan’s new revelation came about since becoming a writer and blogger on the Atlantic Monthly. Wonder if he is related to the publisher of the Atlantic Monthly, John Fox Sullivan?
Now, finally, here is what Sullivan said in 2006:
Andrew Sullivan: She's trying too hard to be a contender
23 January 2006
IF there's a certain schizophrenia in the rhetoric of senator Hillary Rodham Clinton these days, it's intentional. There she was last week, at a predominantly black congregation, lambasting Republicans. She lamented that the Republican-controlled House of Representatives has been "run like a plantation ... And you know what I am talking about". Republicans as slave holders? Now that's inflammatory.
Then only days later we saw the other side of
"Let's be clear about the threat we face. A nuclear
Running to the Left of President George W. Bush and to the Right of him as well is not a feat most politicians are able to pull off. But
And so they have to do two things at once: oppose the President's conduct of the war, while explaining how they'd do better. So far, not so good. But at least
She's following her husband's old gamble: triangulate, triangulate. But Bill triangulated once he'd become president. Hillary is triangulating while trying to win over her party's left-wing base and more moderate voters. That is proving the tough part.
The Left loathes the war in
Hillary's response has not been to co-opt the Left's rhetoric. She knows it would kill her in a presidential race with a centrist Republican in 2008. So she has tried to win over the base by raising oodles of money for local candidates, travelling the country to win points and curry favours.
Her celebrity can guarantee a big crowd at any fundraising event. So she just had a big shindig for the New Hampshire Governor. She raised a cool half a million bucks for senator Debbie Stabenow of Michigan last month, raked in another $US600,000 ($803,000) for the Dems in Kentucky and is scheduled to do the same in Washington state.
In all of this she has been lucky to have lacklustre Republican opposition in
Secure at home, she's pursuing Bush's 2000 strategy of amassing so much campaign money and so many favours that she becomes the "inevitable" nominee for 2008, regardless of her ideological blur.
Two men, however, stand in her way. The first is Mark Warner, a telegenic, youthful retiring Governor of Virginia, who turned one of the redder Republican states blue with smart governance and fiscal responsibility. Governors almost always have the advantage over senators in presidential contests because they have had to make decisions rather than simply debate them in Congress.
Warner is also -- how to put this nicely? -- fresher than
Which brings us to Hillary's other problem male: her husband. It's impossible to imagine him in the White House as a "first lady" figure, arranging state dinners and redecorating the
When Bush Jr was elected no one believed his dad would actually be running the show (although a few chastened conservatives might have appreciated some old-school moderation at the helm these past few years). Electing Hillary will be the same two-for-one deal it was in 1992 and 1996. Americans like moving forward, not backwards.
At some point, Hillary's positioning will also hit a wall of opposition. That wall will either be the Democratic left-wing base of activists, a base that rallied to her in the White House largely because of her rabid right-wing opponents, not because of her centrist policies.
Or it will be centrist independents who'd pick John McCain over another
My own hope is that she doesn't run. She doesn't have the instinctive connection with people to be an effective national politician: she's too cold, too calculating, too distant.
Her speeches have been getting better but still make Gore seem like a good performer. And a repeat of the acrimonious culture wars of the '90s is about the last thing the
Besides, there is a perfect position for her in American public life, and it's not in the Senate, despite her eminently respectable record there. She belongs on the Supreme Court. She's a lawyer who wants to change the world. That's almost a job description for a liberal justice. But she'll need a Democratic president to put her there. Maybe some of the cash she has been raising will help bring that about.
It could fund far worse causes: Hillary's own presidential ambition, for one.
Andrew Sullivan is a writer for Britain's The Sunday